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“Quit the nuclear deal”

The E3 (Britan, France, Germany) upped their ante with a letter to the UN Security Council on August 12, 2025, that included: ‘if Iran is not willing to reach a diplomatic solution before the end of August 2025, or does not seize the opportunity of an extension, E3 are prepared to trigger the snapback mechanism’. (AP, Aug 13, 2025) 

So far, we have an Iranian response from Parliament member Manouchehr Mottaki — who was Iran’s top diplomat for five years in the 2000s — saying the Iranian parliament has a “finger on the trigger” for quitting the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty. “We only need 24 hours to approve quitting the nuclear deal,” if the E3 raises the issue at the U.N. Security Council, Mottaki said. (AP, Aug 13, 2025) 

On ‘extension’, following July’s meeting in Istanbul [between E3 and Iran], an E3 diplomat said Iran could delay [snapback] by doing two things [1] renewing cooperation with the Vienna-based IAEA and [2] addressing concerns about its highly enriched uranium stockpile. ( AP, Aug 13, 2025) 

Can Iran claim to have met [1] with the IAEA-Iran meeting in Tehran on August 11? Can Iran dodge [2] by affirming that it does not know the status of its enriched uranium stockpile still buried in the rubble of the U.S. June 12 bunker buster bombing of Fordow and Natanz and cruise missile attack at Isfahan?

Intriguing is Mottaki’s “quitting the nuclear deal.” Suppose Iran were to announce that, following the lead of the great Donald Trump in 2018, Iran is withdrawing from JCPOA? Iran is not withdrawing from NPT. Wouldn’t that make a pretty mess! 

More seriously, what would it mean if Iran gave its 3-month notice of withdrawal from NPT, and stated that it will continue its policy of not developing nuclear weapons? Would Israel use that as an excuse to restart its war on Iran? If so, attacking what? Most probably, this time carrying through its plan, underway in the air until stopped at the last moment by order from Trump, to attack with intent to destroy the Iranian regime leadership. Would Trump then join in? On what basis? What would the rest of the. world do? These are subjects that now need to be addressed, to be ready.

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