Skip to main content

Assassination of Iranian Nuclear Scientists and the Follow On

On July 25, the Times of Israel published a story titled Strikes on Iran thwarted fission and fusion nukes, and ‘electronic pulse’ bomb. It was based on a column published by David Ignatius in the Washington Post. Besides the writeup on the title story, there was also this: 

The damage to Iran’s nuclear and missile programs was compounded by Israel’s assassination of [11 persons in] the first tier, second tier and most of the third tier of Iranian physicists and nuclear scientists. Israeli officials were cited as saying it was expected that younger Iranians would be deterred from pursuing careers in those fields as a result of the killings. 

More insight into that last sentence was given in the July 15 report by David Albright’s Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) titled Significance of the Targeted Nuclear Scientists in the 12-Day War. In Albright’s report we find the following: 

In an apparent effort to pre-empt recovery and recruitments, Israel threatened a far larger group of scientists during the war via social media, an effort that may continue, warning them explicitly that death awaits them if they work on nuclear weapons. They reached out throughout Iran offering rewards and safety to informants who provide information about secret nuclear activities. The desired message is clear: Any Iranian scientist or engineer who decides to work on nuclear weapons or on secret gas centrifuge programs will know that his or her life, and potentially their family’s lives, are at risk and that a colleague nearby could become an informant, exposing the entire secret effort, with potentially devastating consequences. 

That insight into Israel’s covert war on Iran makes one ponder. How can there be a peaceful coexistence between the two countries when the ingrained Israeli mindset is that the Islamic Republic of Iran is an existential threat and therefore anything, anything, that counters that threat is justified? And one thinks, isn’t the United States complicit with all that Israel is doing - in Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and in Iran? Some will push this aside, saying that assassination and threat of assassination is in the Middle East culture. But is it in America’s?

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

‘New war with Israel at any moment’, ‘still digging through rubble’

The news about Iran has taken an ominous tone in the last couple days. Here is some reporting and commentary.  Newsweek on August 18, 2025, reported that Yahya Rahim Safavi, senior military adviser to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, said ‘ We are not in a ceasefire; we are in a stage of war. No protocol, regulation, or agreement has been written between us and the U.S. or Israel. A new war with Israel could break out at any moment .’  Yonah Jeremy Bob commented in The Jerusalem Post on August 19, 2025, that ‘ Khamenei can either “drink from the poisoned chalice” of diplomatic concessions … or face more airstrikes, possibly next time some targeting him directly ’.   Bob also noted that ‘ right now Iran is still digging through rubbl e’. The U.S. attacked Fordow, Natanz and Esfahan on June 22. Two months of digging. No surprise that there has been no public news about that.

U.S. Sanctions, Middle East views

Trump’s special envoy Witkoff has hit the capitals again; in Tel Aviv Netanyahu probably told him to tell Trump that he will take over all of Gaza; in Moscow Putin probably told him to tell Trump that Ukraine will be destroyed and forget the sanctions. Witkoff didn’t get to number 3 on his list, Iran. But Trump played another ‘ getting to a deal ’ with Iran card, adding sanctions he can later get credit for removing. And the Middle East commentators are worriedly reacting to the Iran situation. Here are some highlights.  From Newsweek:       The U.S. announced on July 30 the largest Iran-related sanctions since 2018 , targeting entities and vessels linked to the country's petroleum sector: 20 oil firms, 5 vessel management companies, 1 wholesaler, and over 115 individuals in 17 countries and regions, including the U.K., Italy, Switzerland, India, the UAE and Hong Kong.       U.S. State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce said: "Today's Depar...

Assessing possible outcomes of the snapback mechanism

The initiation by the E3 of the 30-day snapback mechanism in the UN Security Council makes everything more difficult and there is great uncertainty about the outcome. Will it be peaceful with a new nuclear deal with Iran, negotiated by the U.S., endorsed by the UNSC and verified by IAEA, or will Iran withdraw from NPT with further military action by Israel and the U.S.?                 To perhaps shed a little light on what the outcome will be, here is my analysis of how the players - Iran, U.S. and E3 - may be assessing the acceptability of the range of outcomes. Four levels of acceptability were used: 1 Fully acceptable; 2 Less acceptable; 3 Just acceptable; and 4 Not acceptable. Four near term 30-day outcomes are listed, and two optimistic outcomes with an interim U.S.-Iran agreement reached within a 6-month extension.                 For the 30-day near term, the best outcome would b...